Fox News Poll: Harris up by 2 on Trump in Georgia, but within margin of error
Kamala Harris (Robert Gauthier/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images) Donald Trump (Photo by Emily Elconin/Getty Images)
ATLANTA - While support for Donald Trump has remained constant, Kamala Harris is building upon President Joe Biden’s 2024 election numbers in Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina – all battleground states that effectively decide the election. A new poll sponsored by Fox News found that Harris is actually leading Trump by two points in the Peach State, within a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points.
The survey, released Wednesday, included 1,014 randomly selected Georgia voters and was conducted between August 23-26, after the Democratic National Convention and just after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out and endorsed Trump.
The poll was conducted in a joint effort by Democratic pollster Beacon Research and Republican pollster Shaw & Company Research, which have been partnering on Fox News polls since 2011.
Who are Kamala Harris' Georgia supporters?
According to the poll, 80% of Black voters, 56% of Hispanic voters, 55% of voters under the age of 30 and 51% of voters 65 or older across the Sun Belt states favor Vice President Harris, which is an improvement on Biden's numbers.
Here's the breakdown for Georgians:
- 97% of voters who strongly approve of Biden, 93% of those who somewhat approve
- 96% of Democrats, 84% of Liberal-leaning voters, 56% of Moderate voters
- 80% of Black voters
- 74% of non-white voters
- 54% of voters with a college degree
- 53% of voters under the age of 35, 51% under the age of 45
- 52% of women, 61% of women with a college degree
Chicago, Ill, Wednesday, August 21, 2024 - Vice President Kamala Harris delivers a speech as she accepts the party's nomination to be it's presidential candidate at the Democratic National Convention at the United Center. (Robert Gauthier/Los Angeles
DNC RECAP:
- DNC Day 1: Kamala Harris makes surprise appearance on 1st night of DNC in Chicago
- DNC Day 2: Obamas, Democratic leaders rally for Harris, Walz
- DNC Day 3: Tim Walz formally accepts vice presidential nomination
- DNC Day 4: Kamala Harris formally accepts presidential nomination in DNC speech
- Lil Jon surprises DNC crowd as Georgia casts 123 votes for Kamala Harris during roll call
Who are Donald Trump's Georgia supporters?
According to the poll, Trump is carrying 65% of Whites without a college degree, 60% of rural voters, and 42% of Hispanics in the Sun Belt states, which is about the same as he did in 2020. He’s at 77% among White evangelical Christians, down from 83%. Yet, his support among Black voters has nearly tripled, from 7% to 19%. Three out of four voters who favored RFK Jr. said they would back Trump.
Here's the breakdown for Georgians:
- 87% of voters who strongly disapprove of Biden, 50% of voters who somewhat disapprove
- 77% of Conservative-leaning voters
- 77% of White evangelical Christians
- 71% of rural white voters
- 74% of white men without a degree, 66% of white women without a degree
- 61% of white voters
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - AUGUST 26: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump raises his fist as he greets the crowd before speaking during the National Guard Association of the United States' 146th General Conference & E
RNC RECAP:
- RNC Day 1: Trump at RNC in first public appearance since assassination attempt
- RNC Day 2: Crime and immigration focus on Tuesday
- RNC Day 3: JD Vance gives first major address as GOP VP pick
- RNC Day 4: Trump formally accepts GOP nomination for president
- Read full transcript of Trump's RNC 2024 speech
You Decide: Which issues do Georgia voters care about most?
When asked whether they were extremely motivated to cast a ballot this year, 7 in 10 voters said, "yes."
They were also asked about which issues they found the most important in deciding who to vote for president.
The economy was the number one issue for voters across the Sun Belt states, with 45% of Georgia voters choosing it as their top priority.
The next biggest issue for Georgians was immigration (12%).
Just 10% of Georgia voters were concerned about abortion, 9% about health care and 8% about election integrity. 34% of Georgia voters said they didn't think Biden was legitimately elected president in 2020.
Foreign policy, crime, guns and climate change were all tied at 3%.
Battleground Ep. 20: Chasing the Reluctant Voter: Inside the Campaigns' Sleeper Strategy
With just 70 days until the 2024 election, Battleground dives into the high-stakes fight for crucial swing states. We examine fierce debates over election integrity and ballot access in Wisconsin and Michigan that could tip the balance. In Pennsylvania, go inside the battle for suburban women voters that could decide the Keystone State. Explore how both campaigns are chasing infrequent voters who may hold the key to victory. And in Michigan, the challenge Democrats face with Arab American voters over Gaza. Plus, the latest fundraising numbers, previewing the pivotal Philadelphia debate, and the campaign trail's critical next moves. Battleground delivers the essential insights you need heading into the home stretch of this historic race.
More voters interviewed said they Trump on two of the three top issues, the economy and immigration, while Harris took a wide lead on abortion. She was also favored on health care, while Trump was the top choice to handle the Israel-Hamas war.
In Georgia, 94% of Democrats, 60% of Independents and 10% of Republicans saw Kamala Harris as the candidate who would "unite the country."
For Trump – 83% of Republicans, 28% of Independents and 5% of Democrats.
Meanwhile, 89% of Republicans, 29% of Independents and 5% of Democrats in Georgia trusted Donald Trump would do a better job on "fighting for people like you."
For Harris – 94% of Democrats, 57% of Independents and 8% of Republicans.
When it came to deciding who would bring "needed change" to the U.S., it was close. Just 50% of voters sided with Harris, while 47% chose Trump.